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To reverse a decade of compromising total factor productivity, regional labour market policy is shifting from basic job development to handling active labor force transitions. Governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in information analytics and digital operations to gear up employees for emerging roles. Workplace-based knowing and apprenticeship-style paths are ending up being more common as firms incorporate AI tools into day-to-day workflows.
With oil costs forecasted to typical $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local federal governments are magnifying their concentrate on expenditure discipline and private capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is pivoting towards the monetisation of state-owned possessions in logistics, energies, and desalination to redirect funds toward higher-impact investments. While borrowing by means of sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is expected to increase to money strategic deficits, the focus remains on strengthening non-oil earnings frameworks.
PwC Middle East economic policy and strategy partner Jing Teow stated: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now focused on delivery. In 2026, the priority is reinforcing financial durability through more protected trade and financial investment relationships, effective AI implementation, handled labor force shifts and disciplined fiscal policy in a more challenging and fragmented worldwide environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's financial expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, resistant domestic demand and restored investment momentum, according to the current ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to surpass most international regions peers next year, with local GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is projected to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and rising investment in innovation and AI-related facilities.
Although oil profits will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is anticipated to increase once again in the 2nd half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it specified. Saudi Arabia will remain a significant factor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Growth will be supported by industrial expansion and policy reforms, including alleviated foreign ownership guidelines that aim to promote additional investment. The fiscal deficit is projected to broaden to 5.6% of GDP next year amidst softer oil prices, while the current five-year rent freeze in Riyadh intends to alleviate inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future real estate supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise placed for another strong year of efficiency, with GDP forecast to rise 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to expand. Tourist, trade and financial services stay key growth chauffeurs, supported by population growth and sustained domestic need. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is expected to pick up again in the second half of 2026, complementing continuous investment in facilities, innovation and global trade collaborations. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, stated: "This quarter's outlook strengthens how far the GCC has actually can be found in structure varied, durable and globally competitive economies.
Achieving Operational Excellence in the Industrial SectorScott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Economist and Handling Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are getting in 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is acquiring speed, supported by robust demand and increasing financial investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to take advantage of strong domestic principles, a sharp uplift in government costs and sustained diversification efforts.
Achieving Operational Excellence in the Industrial SectorWhat identifies 2026 from preceding years is not just the acceleration of technological modification, though that velocity is real, but rather a basic shift in how enterprises develop of their GCCs' function. The is expected to grow to four hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, but this development masks a more profound transformation.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive innovation, own profit-and-loss duty, and contribute to competitive differentiation. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will act like internal start-ups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with international company results. This shift from execution to ownership represents maybe the single most considerable strategic recalibration in the GCC design's development.
This week, we're convening more than 3000 meetings between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're bringing together investors, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is altering in the region, and what follows, consisting of the growth and ongoing advancement of the Gulf's capital markets, and the region's growing function in global networks of capital and trade.
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