Can Strategic Research Drive Middle East Industrial Success? thumbnail

Can Strategic Research Drive Middle East Industrial Success?

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4 min read


Company news and monetary news, analysis, viewpoint and data covering the six Gulf Corporation Council members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE

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Financial growth throughout the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is set to accelerate in 2026, with the region forecasted to outperform its 2025 performance regardless of muted oil revenues and ongoing global uncertainties. According to a new Oxford Economics research study briefing, GCC GDP growth is expected to increase to 4.4 percent in 2026, up from 4 per cent in 2025, reflecting a durable nonenergy sector, strong customer dynamics, and slowly enhancing oil output.

The latest forecasts suggest that Gulf economies are now wellpositioned to regain momentum, buoyed by reinforcing domestic need and a broadly constant international background. The report highlights GCC consumers as a significant motorist of the area's financial performance heading into next year. Low inflation, robust labour markets, and growing real non reusable incomes are expected to sustain a rise in consumer spending across the Gulf.

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Credit growth is also anticipated to stay raised as access to financial services expands. With GCC main banks expected to follow expected United States Federal Reserve rate cuts due to the region's dollar pegs, obtaining costs are most likely to decline, providing households and companies even more inspiration to invest and invest. While the nonoil sector continues to anchor the region's resilience, the GCC's hydrocarbon outlook provides a mixed photo.

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This might weigh on firsthalf development, particularly for economies more reliant on oil extraction. Oxford Economics forecasts a rebound later in 2026, with Opec+ members expected to resume raising production as inventories tighten up and global need improves. Qatar, on the other hand, stands apart as a local outperformer, with considerable growths in gas production and exports expected to lift its general financial efficiency.

Saudi Arabia's 2026 budget plan anticipates a 6 percent cut in capital expenditure as the kingdom intends to narrow its financial deficit by two percentage points. The report keeps in mind that these cuts might not materialise fully if countercyclical costs procedures are triggered to support development. By contrast, more diversified economies such as the UAE and Qatar are anticipated to continue advancing their development agendas.

Regardless of shortterm dangers tied to oil rates and worldwide demand, the GCC's 2026 economic outlook is defined by strength in basics: resistant customers, robust nonenergy sectors, improving oil dynamics, and tactical fiscal planning. With these factors aligning, the region is getting ready for one of its most balanced durations of expansion recently anchored by a clear upward trajectory in GDP growth.

Emerging Strategic Trends Shaping the 2026 Regional Economy

RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council regional economies are expected to remain resilient in 2026, driven by strong domestic need and a broadly steady international economy, according to an analysis. In its latest report, Oxford Economics highlighted that the genuine gdp of the GCC area is expected to broaden by 4.4 percent in 2026, up from the forecasted 4 percent this year.

We expect GCC growth will rise to 4.4 percent in 2026, from 4 percent this year."In November, the GCC Statistical Center stated that financial growth in the region is set to speed up to 4.3 percent by 2027, driven by broadening non-oil sectors.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+


Non-oil activities accounted for 73.2 percent of overall GDP, up from 70.6 percent at the end of 2024, highlighting the area's continued development towards diversity. According to Oxford Economics, GCC customers will be standout performers in 2026 and are anticipated to surpass their global peers.

In December, the IMF even more stated that heading inflation is expected to stay listed below 2 percent in Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar, near 2 percent in the Kingdom and the UAE, and a little above 2 percent in Kuwait in 20252026. According to Oxford Economics, credit development is anticipated to remain elevated in the GCC region during 2026, as access to financial services is expected to grow and financing is forecasted to be supported by further cuts in rates of interest."Owing to their currency pegs to the US dollar, GCC main banks are expected to follow the US Federal Reserve by easing financial policy even more, which in turn will lower financial obligation servicing expenses and improve disposable earnings and need," stated the report.

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