Major Shifts in the 2026 Middle East Economy

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Major Shifts in the 2026 GCC Market

Overall possessions held broadly consistent over the quarter, while trading levels pointed to continued rearranging and as a response to geopolitical news rather than a meaningful brand-new capital release. International macro conditions set a challenging background.

The result was a quarter specified by volatility, dispersion, and selective positioning, instead of a clear directional pattern. Oil associated properties did well for the a lot of part. On the favorable side, in January, the Boreas Outright High-end ETF released on ADX to add more thematic ETFs. Also in Q1, 2 more Kraneshares have actually been approved for launch by the Capital Market Authority (CMA) and are about to be authorized by the Abu Dhabi Stock Market (ADX). The GCC ETF universe comprised 39 ETFs with a total AUM of $9.35 billion (as of Q1 2026). Efficiency across the market was broadly negative, with only 13 ETFs providing positive returns compared to 26 in decline. Efficiency in Q1 2026 was driven by a narrow group of distinctive winners, rather than broad market strength.

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Egypt provided strong efficiency in January and February. Despite a market pullback in March due to the war, both Egypt's market and its ETFs still posted positive returns for the quarter. The continuous Middle East dispute and resulting energy shock have actually improved the outlook for emerging market equities between the oil-haves and the oil-have-nots.

The sector also faced more comprehensive macro headwinds, including a more careful policy backdrop in China and international risk-off belief driven by geopolitical stress and greater energy prices. Thematic ETFs Had a hard time for the most part, particularly those connected to carbon and high-growth innovation, as evaluation pressures and worldwide rate dynamics weighed on performance.

Flows in Q1 2026 were modest and extremely focused, reflecting selective allowance rather than broad market involvement. Regardless of weak efficiency, ETFs taped $27.1 million in net inflows, with just a little number of products drawing in new capital.

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Trading activity stayed stable, with average 30-day volumes around 33,000 shares, focused in a handful of bigger and more liquid ETFs. Many activity appears to have taken place in the secondary market, enabling financiers to change positions without considerable primary productions or redemptions.

In January, Boreas released its S&P Global High-end UCITS ETF, adding a specific niche thematic direct exposure focused on global high-end and customer brand names. ETFs by the CMA for cross-listing on ADX.

Q1 2026 showed some development relating to ETFs in the GCC. We expect more worldwide and thematic ETFs to list in the GCC during 2026. While the dispute has actually impacted sentiment and rates throughout the quarter, it has driven more volume and interest in local assets.

Regardless of ongoing geopolitical tensions and security dangers throughout the Middle East, the economies of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) have actually continued to show resilience, maintaining favorable growth momentum recently. While conflicts in the wider region and worldwide economic unpredictability remain a structural constraint, GCC countries have actually up until now limited their influence on domestic financial performance through strong fiscal positions, policy connection, and continual financial investment.